Don't use gross churn to compare SaaS businesses
Whether you're optimizing your ad spend or in talks with investors about what your SaaS business is worth, you need to calculate your customer lifetime value right. And while there are good shortcuts, using them can easily lead to a completely wrong number , resulting in really bad decisions. In my role I've come to realize that the shortcuts rarely work well enough. In this article I'll cover the following challenges in calculating churn: Fluctuating / seasonal churn Churn-and-return customers Churn of different price tiers is asymmetric Churn is non-linear over time Saturated markets And finally the best way to calculate lifetime value that account for these challenges. Calculating lifetime from retention Typically lifetime value is calculated by dividing your average monthly revenue per account (ARPA) by your monthly churn. You can get your ARPA by dividing your monthly recurring revenue (MRR) by the number of paying customers you have. And so, if your ARPA is 10 € and y